[ANALYSIS] The Valdai Gambit: Did an Alleged Drone Strike on Putin’s Estate Just Derail the Mar-a-Lago Peace Initiative?
Valdai Residence (also known as Uzhin or Dolgiye Borody) As of late December 2025, the Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations, brokered by U.S. President Donald Trump, have reached a critical inflection point. Immediately following the high-stakes summit at Mar-a-Lago, a disruption occurred that threatens to unravel the diplomatic progress. This analysis examines the strategic background of the […]
The Mar-a-Lago Compact: Anatomy of the ‘Porcupine’ Strategy and the 20-Point Peace Plan
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Pivot: The December 28 Trump-Zelensky summit signals a shift from “total victory” rhetoric to “transactional security,” with a peace deal reportedly 95% agreed upon. The Trade-off: Kyiv has tacitly accepted a 20-year NATO membership moratorium in exchange for a US-backed “Porcupine Strategy” and bilateral security guarantees. Resource Diplomacy: A parallel agreement grants […]